Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.189899 0.214108 0.239648 0.268545 0.300274 0.333993 0.372478
2025-06-01 0.156144 0.188577 0.224705 0.267736 0.317388 0.372672 0.438664
2025-06-08 0.131737 0.168995 0.212500 0.266633 0.331736 0.407044 0.500246
2025-06-15 0.116448 0.157584 0.207645 0.272327 0.352896 0.449115 0.571795
2025-06-22 0.101837 0.144930 0.199434 0.272339 0.366087 0.481283 0.632075
2025-06-29 0.089850 0.134060 0.192021 0.272052 0.377970 0.511484 0.690373
2025-07-06 0.079888 0.124659 0.185366 0.271697 0.389008 0.540344 0.747398
2025-07-13 0.072670 0.118202 0.181885 0.274902 0.404330 0.574767 0.812299
2025-07-20 0.067717 0.114420 0.181610 0.282144 0.425020 0.616620 0.888006
2025-07-27 0.061915 0.108724 0.177998 0.284162 0.438210 0.648492 0.951055
2025-08-03 0.057896 0.105336 0.177388 0.290227 0.457049 0.688400 1.025942
2025-08-10 0.054692 0.102899 0.177919 0.297801 0.478117 0.731836 1.106737
2025-08-17 0.049359 0.096598 0.172224 0.295927 0.485703 0.757179 1.164116
2025-08-24 0.044876 0.091271 0.167620 0.295332 0.494978 0.785068 1.225809
2025-08-31 0.040785 0.086195 0.162986 0.294287 0.503331 0.811685 1.286275
2025-09-07 0.038452 0.084043 0.162988 0.300548 0.523007 0.855378 1.372561
2025-09-14 0.035269 0.079968 0.159384 0.300606 0.532834 0.884545 1.438184
2025-09-21 0.032344 0.076070 0.155758 0.300318 0.541931 0.912700 1.502868
2025-09-28 0.029688 0.072413 0.152254 0.299946 0.550722 0.940468 1.567512
2025-10-05 0.027814 0.070142 0.151069 0.303431 0.565825 0.978270 1.648163
2025-10-12 0.026662 0.069264 0.152377 0.311294 0.588377 1.028216 1.748492
2025-10-19 0.024887 0.066851 0.150592 0.313485 0.601402 1.063404 1.826809
2025-10-26 0.023763 0.065756 0.151246 0.320066 0.622027 1.111131 1.925629